AI Threat Watch

AI raceCenter for AI Safety§3.1.1

Militaries hand life-and-death decisions to AI

Outside what we measureNo matching case files yet.

The warning

An arms race could push militaries toward weapons that select and kill targets without a human decision, and toward automated warfare that escalates faster than people can intervene.

Paraphrased from the paper. Source: An Overview of Catastrophic AI Risks, Center for AI Safety, Section 3.1.1, page 14.

What the registry shows

Outside what a security incident registry can measure. Military uses of AI are rarely reported as incidents.

A risk that a security incident registry cannot measure.

Status history

DateStatusMatching case filesChange
Oct 18, 2026Outside what we measure0Tracking starts

Tracked since Oct 18, 2026. A line is added when the status changes, when the first real-world case is linked, and once a month, so the record shows when a warning moved from research to reality. research_history.json

All matching case files

No matching case files yet.

Other warnings in this group

Research vs reality →

How we match: a case file is linked to a warning when what happened is a real-world instance of the risk the paper describes, judged by the editors from the facts in the case file. A match means the case fits the warning, not that it proves the paper's wider argument. Allegations in lawsuits are labelled as allegations. Statuses are editorial and reviewed as new cases arrive. The matching is recomputed on every update. Data: Systematic coverage in the registry starts in 2025, so a first-case date shows when the registry first recorded the risk, not when it first happened. research.json (CC BY 4.0)

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