AI Threat Watch

International AI Safety ReportMalicious use§2.1.2

AI content is used to sway what people believe

Early signs4 matching case files

The warning

AI-generated content can shift people's beliefs about as well as people can, and some actors use it to manipulate; evidence of how well this works outside the lab is still limited.

Paraphrased from the source. Source: International AI Safety Report 2026, Feb 3, 2026, section 2.1.2, page 50. Summary by International AI Safety Report: internationalaisafetyreport.org.

What the registry shows

The registry records influence operations using AI-written news sites, deepfake videos of leaders and synthetic presenters, but not whether they changed anyone's mind. That matches the report's caution about real-world effect.

Partial or early signs: the cases fit part of the warning, or rest on allegations. First real-world case on file: Jan 23, 2025 · Already on file when this research was published.

Matching case files per quarter

02Seen in real incidents: 11'25 Q1'25 Q2Seen in real incidents: 11'25 Q3'25 Q4'26 Q1Seen in real incidents: 11'26 Q2Seen in real incidents: 11'26 Q3'26 Q4

Status history

DateStatusMatching case filesChange
Oct 18, 2026Early signs4Tracking starts

Tracked since Oct 18, 2026. A line is added when the status changes, when the first real-world case is linked, and once a month, so the record shows when a warning moved from research to reality. research_history.json

All matching case files

The same case files in other research

Warnings from other sources that link to some of the same case files.

Other warnings in this group

Research vs reality · International AI Safety Report →

How we match: a case file is linked to a warning when what happened is a real-world instance of the risk the source describes, judged by the editors from the facts in the case file. A match means the case fits the warning, not that it proves the source's wider argument. Allegations in lawsuits are labelled as allegations. Statuses are editorial and reviewed as new cases arrive. The matching is recomputed on every update. Data: Systematic coverage in the registry starts in 2025, so a first-case date shows when the registry first recorded the risk, not when it first happened. research.json (CC BY 4.0)

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